| 16 November 2009, Monday |
|
| 08:30 - 09:00 |
Coffee reception and registration
|
| 09:00 - 09:10 |
Opening Remarks by HE Dong, Executive Director (Research), Hong Kong Monetary Authority
|
| 09:10 – 09:50 |
Keynote speech “Economic surveillance in China” by ZHANG Tao, People’s Bank of China
|
| Session I |
GDP and Labor Statistics in China
Chair: CUI, Li, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
|
| 09:50 – 10:40 |
Methodology on the reconciliation of GDP data in census and non-census years
by SHI Faqi, National Bureau of Statistics, China
Discussant: Harry WU, Hitotsubashi University and Conference Board
|
| 10:40 – 11:00 |
Coffee Break
|
| 11:10 – 11:50 |
Labour market statistics in China
by Carsten Holtz, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
Discussant: SHU Chang, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
|
| 11:50 – 12:40 |
Factor shares in China’s national income: story behind the statistics
by QIAN Zhenjie, Tsinghua University
Discussant: ZHAO Yang, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
|
| 12:40 – 14:20 |
Lunch
|
| Session II |
Energy, Commodities, and China’s Economy
Chair: HE Dong, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
|
| 14:20 – 15:10 |
Changes in China's energy intensity: its origins and implications for long-run carbon emission projections and climate policies
by CAO Jing, Tsinghua University
Discussant: Chen Hongyi, HKIMR
|
| 15:10 – 16:00 |
Financialization of commodities and cyclical fluctuations of the Chinese economy
by ZHANG Zhiwei, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
Discussant: Carsten Holtz, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
|
| 16:00 – 16:20 |
Coffee Break
|
| 16:20 – 18:00 |
Panel discussion “Market perspectives on China macroeconomic statistics and surveillance”
HA Jiming, Chief Economist, China International Capital Corporation
MA Jun, Head of China Research, Deutsch Bank
PENG Wensheng, Head of China Research, Barclays Capital
WANG Qing, Chief China Economist, Morgan Stanley
WANG Tao, Head of China Economic Research, UBS
|
| 18:30 – 20:30 |
Conference dinner hosted by Mr. Norman Chan, Chief Executive, HKMA (by invitation only)
|
| 17 November 2009, Tuesday |
|
| 08:40 – 09:00 |
Morning coffee
|
| Session III |
External Statistics and Forecasting
Chair: Lillian CHEUNG, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
|
| 09:00 – 9:50 |
"Globalization and international trade statistics in China” by GAO Minxue, Renmin University, China
Discussant: ZHANG Zhiwei Hong Kong Monetary Authority
|
| 9:50 – 10:30 |
"Issues in China’s balance of payments and international investment position statistics” by LIU Bin, HAN Jian, State Administration of Foreign Exchange
|
| 10:30 – 10:50 |
Coffee Break
|
| 10:50 – 11:40 |
"Official statistical indicators for monitoring macroeconomic performance in China: observations from the Conference Board China experimental LEI/CEI exercise" by Harry WU, Hitotsubashi University and Conference Board
Discussant: CHEN Qianying, HKIMR
|
| 11:40 – 12:30 |
"Nowcasting in China” by Matthew YIU, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
Discussant: Carol Wei LIAO, HKIMR
|
| 12:30 – 14:20 |
Lunch
|
| Session IV |
Macro Statistics: Where to Find Them and How to Use them
Chair: ZHANG Zhiwei, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
|
| 14:20 – 15:00 |
"PMI Index in China: how is it constructed and how should it be interpreted” By CAI Jin, China Federation of Logistics & Purchasing
|
| 15:00 – 15:40 |
"Macroeconomic statistics in China: perspectives from a service provider” By WIND
|
|
End of Conference
|