The 14th Annual International Conference on the Chinese Economy
第十四屆年度中國經濟國際研討會

"China and the Changing Global Trade Landscape: Challenges and Opportunities"
"中國及全球貿易結構的演變:挑戰與機遇"



Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research
香港貨幣及金融研究中心

14-15 October 2024
2024年10月14至15日


Venue: Auditorium, 56/F, HKMA, Two International Finance Centre, Central, Hong Kong
地點: 香港中環國際金融中心二期56樓香港金融管理局會議室


Programme 會議議程



14 October 2024
2024年10月14日
09:40 – 10:00 Registration and Welcome Coffee 與會者登記及迎賓茶點
10:00 – 11:00 Welcoming Remarks 歡迎詞
Enoch FUNG, Chief Executive Officer, Hong Kong Academy of Finance and
Executive Director, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research
馮殷諾, 金融學院行政總裁, 香港貨幣及金融研究中心執行董事

Opening Remarks 開幕詞
Eddie YUE, Chief Executive, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
余偉文, 香港金融管理局總裁

Keynote Speech 主旨演講
Assessing the US and China's Industrial Policies
評估美國及中國的產業政策
Shang-Jin WEI, N.T. Wang Professor of Chinese Business and Economy, Columbia University
魏尚進, 哥倫比亞大學王念祖中國商業及經濟講席教授

11:00 – 11:30 Coffee Break 茶歇
11:30 – 13:00 Panel Discussion 專家討論

Recent Developments and Outlook of the Chinese Economy
中國經濟的最新發展及展望

Moderator: Hongyi CHEN, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research
主持人: 陳紅一, 香港貨幣及金融研究中心

  • Higher U.S. Tariffs and Supply Chain Realignment
    美國的高關稅及全球供應鏈重構
    Tao WANG, Head of Asia Economics and Chief China Economist, UBS
    汪濤, 瑞銀證券亞洲經濟研究主管及首席中國經濟學家
  • What China Can Do to Boost Consumption?[Sildes]
    中國經濟如何提高消費支出?
    Haibin ZHU, Chief China Economist, JPMorgan Chase Bank
    朱海斌, 摩根大通中國首席經濟學家
  • Strong Exports Hide Weak Domestic Demand
    強勁出口和薄弱内需
    Hui SHAN, Chief China Economist, Goldman Sachs
    閃輝, 高盛中國首席經濟學家
  • China’s Potential Growth
    中國的潛在增長
    Wenlang ZHANG, Chief Macro Analyst, CICC
    張文朗, 中金公司首席宏觀分析師
13:00 –14:00 Conference lunch (By invitation) 午餐 (僅限受邀者)
14:00 –15:30 Supply Chain Realignment and China’s Export
供應鏈重構與中國的出口


Moderator: Michael CHENG, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
主持人: 鄭建森, 香港金融管理局
Mapping the Realignment of Global Value Chains[Paper]
全球價值鏈重構的解析
Han QIU, Bank for International Settlements
邱晗, 國際結算銀行
Hyun Song SHIN, Bank for International Settlements
Leanne Si Ying ZHANG, Bank for International Settlements

Discussant: Alicia GARCÍA HERRERO, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology[Slides]
討論者: Alicia GARCÍA HERRERO, 香港科技大學

Q&A 問答環節

How did Chinese Exports Respond to US Tariffs?[Slides]
中國出口如何應對美國的關稅?
Jiafu WANG, Hong Kong Monetary Authority
王嘉夫, 香港金融管理局
Philip NG, Hong Kong Monetary Authority

Discussant: Goohoon KWON, Goldman Sachs
討論者: Goohoon KWON, 高盛

Q&A 問答環節

15:50 – 16:10 Coffee Break 茶歇
16:10 – 18:00 China’s Overseas Investment and Bank Lending
中國的對外投資與銀行貸款


Moderator: Philip WOOLDRIDGE, Bank for International Settlements
主持人: Philip WOOLDRIDGE, 國際結算銀行

China's Manufacturing Industry Overseas Investment: Where to Go?[Paper][Slides]
中國製造業出海:下一站目標?
Rong CAI, Peking University HSBC Business School
蔡榮, 北京大學滙豐商學院

Discussant: Alfred SCHIPKE, National University of Singapore[Slides]
討論者: Alfred SCHIPKE, 新加坡國立大學

Q&A 問答環節

Chinese Banks and their EMDE Borrowers: Have their Relationships Changed in Times of Geoeconomic Fragmentation?[Paper][Slides]
中國銀行業與新興市場及發展中經濟的借款人:地緣經濟碎片化改變了兩者關係嗎?
Eugenio CERUTTI, International Monetary Fund
Eugenio CERUTTI, 國際貨幣基金組織
Catherine CASANOVA, Swiss National Bank
Swapan-Kumar PRADHAN, Bank for International Settlements

Discussant: Dora XIA, Bank for International Settlements[Slides]
討論者: 夏凡, 國際結算銀行

Q&A 問答環節

18:30 Conference dinner (By invitation) 晚宴 (僅限受邀者)

15 October 2024
2024年10月15日

The second day of the conference is jointly organized by Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research, Asia Global Institute and
Asian Development Bank Institute

第二天的會議由香港貨幣及金融研究中心, 亞洲環球研究所及亞洲開發銀行研究所合辦

09:10 – 09:30 Registration and Welcome Coffee與會者登記及迎賓茶點
09:30 – 10:00 Opening Remarks開幕詞

Heiwai TANG, Director, Asia Global Institute[Slides]
鄧希煒, 亞洲環球研究所所長

10:00 – 11:15 Panel Discussion on Digital Trade Transformation專家討論: 數字貿易的演變

Moderator: Heiwai TANG, Director, Asia Global Institute
主持人: 鄧希煒, 亞洲環球研究所所長

  • Digital Trade Transformation: Cross-Border E-commerce[Slides]
    數字貿易的演變:跨境電商貿易
    Irina FAN, Director of Research, Hong Kong Trade Development Council
    范婉兒, 香港貿易發展局研究總監
  • Stablecoin for Supply Chain Financial Settlement
    穩定幣打造供應鏈金融的國際結算平台
    Jianguang SHEN, Chief Economist, JD.com
    沈建光, 京東集團首席經濟學家
  • The ICC DSI Roadmap to Digital Trade and Finance; What is in it for Hong Kong?[Slides]
    ICC DSI 數字貿易與金融路綫圖;香港的機會
    Pamela MAR, Senior Fellow, Asia Global Institute
    Pamela MAR, 亞洲環球研究所資深研究員
11:15 – 11:30 Coffee Break茶歇
11:30 – 12:45 Panel Discussion on Innovative Trade Finance專家討論: 貿易融資的創新發展

Moderator: Peter MORGAN, Senior Consulting Economist and Advisor to the Dean, Asian Development Bank Institute
主持人: Peter MORGAN, 亞洲開發銀行研究所高級咨詢經濟學家及所長顧問


  • Bridging Trade Finance Gaps for Jobs and Inclusive Growth[Slides]
    彌補貿易融資缺口,創造就業和包容性經濟增長
    Cyn-Young PARK, Executive Director, The SEACEN Center
    Cyn-Young PARK, 東南亞中央銀行組織執行主任
  • Trade Finance in Viet Nam[Slides]
    越南對外貿易融資
    Vu Hoang NAM, Director of Research Management, Vietnam Foreign Trade University
    Vu Hoang NAM, 越南外貿大學研究管理總監
  • From Paper to Pixel: Digital Trade Finance Innovations and Trends[Slides]
    貿易無紙化: 貿易融資的創新與趨勢
    Venkatraman PANCHAPAKESAN, Managing Director, Global Trade Solutions, HSBC
    Venkatraman PANCHAPAKESAN, 香港上海滙豐銀行有限公司環球貿易方案董事總經理
12:45 Conference closing 會議結束