Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research
Seventh Annual International Conference on the Chinese Economy
“The Growing Influence of China in the World Economy”
14 January 2016 (Thursday) - 15 January 2016 (Friday)
Room 5608, 56/F, Two International Finance Centre, 8 Finance Street, Central
Programme
14 January 2016 |
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8:30 - 9:00 |
Registration
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9:00 - 10:00 |
Keynote Speech
Yiping Huang (Peking University and the People’s Bank of China Monetary Policy Committee Member)
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10:00 - 10:30 |
Coffee Break
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Morning Session |
Chaired by Lillian Cheung (Hong Kong Monetary Authority and Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)
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Session 1 |
Rebalancing and Potential Growth in China
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10:30 - 11:30 |
The Long Landing Scenario: Rebalancing from Overinvestment and Excessive Credit Growth, and Implications for Potential Growth in China
Cristina Jude* (Banque de France)
Marie Albert (Direction Générale du Trésor)
Cyril Rebillard (International Monetary Fund)
Discussant: Zheng Song (Chinese University of Hong Kong)
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11:30 - 12:30 |
How fast can China grow? The Middle Kingdom’s prospects to 2030
Jeannine Bailliu* (Bank of Canada)
Mark Kruger (Bank of Canada)
Argyn Toktamyssov (Bank of Canada)
Wheaton Welbourn (Bank of Canada)
Discussant: James Yetman (Bank for International Settlements)
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12:30 - 13:30 |
Lunch
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Afternoon Session |
Chaired by Hongyi Chen (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)
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Session 2 |
Economic Spillovers from China
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13:30 - 14:30 |
Towards Recoupling? Assessing the Global Impact of a Chinese Hard Landing through Trade and Commodity Price Channels
Ludovic Gauvin* (EconomiX-CNRS & Banque de France)
Cyril Rebillard (International Monetary Fund)
Discussant: Ivan Roberts (Reserve Bank of Australia)
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14:30 - 15:30 |
Macroeconomic Consequences of the Real-Financial Nexus: Imbalances and Spillovers Between China and The U.S.
Pierre Siklos* (Wilfrid Laurier University)
Ke Pang (Wilfrid Laurier University)
Discussant: David Cook (Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)
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15:30 - 16:00 |
Coffee Break
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Session 3 |
Global and Regional Influence of RMB
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16:00 - 17:00 |
Is RMB increasingly important? A Network Approach
Yinggang Zhou* (Xiamen University)
Yiming Wang (Xiamen University)
Discussant: Yin-Wong Cheung (City University of Hong Kong)
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17:00 - 18:00 |
Exchange Rate Regimes and Market Integration: Evidence from the Dynamic Relations between Chinese Renminbi Onshore and Offshore Markets
Zhixiong Zeng* (Monash University)
Xiaoli Wan (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics)
Yi Jin (Monash University)
Yuruo Yan (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics)
Discussant: Matthew Yiu (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)
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18:00 |
Conference Dinner (By invitation only)
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15 January 2016 |
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8:30 - 9:00 |
Registration
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Morning Session |
Chaired by Matthew Yiu (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)
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Session 4 |
Carry Trade Dynamics and Information Flow between RMB Markets
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9:00 - 10:00 |
Carry Trade Dynamics under Capital Controls: The Case of China
Christopher Balding* (Peking University)
Zhang Xiao (BNP Paribas)
Discussant: Alicia Garcia-Herrero (NATIXIS)
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10:00 - 11:00 |
Information Flow between Forward and Spot Markets: Evidence from the Chinese Renminbi
Jian Yang* (University of Colorado Denver)
Jiadong Tong (Nankai University, Tianjin)
Zijun Wang (University of Texas at San Antonio)
Discussant: Frank Song (University of Hong Kong)
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11:00 - 11:30 |
Coffee Break
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11:30 - 13:00 |
Panel Discussion - “The Growing Influence of China in the World Economy”
Chair:
Lillian Cheung (Hong Kong Monetary Authority and Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research)
Panelists:
Ivan Roberts (Reserve Bank of Australia)
Frank Song (University of Hong Kong)
Tao Wang (UBS)
Feng Zhu (Bank for International Settlements)
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-- End of Conference --
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